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Fyodor Lukyanov: Russia gains from Iran war short-term, but worried about future conflicts #iranwar

The Peacemonger

10.4K subscribers

Mar 23, 2026

Fyodor Lukyanov is a Russian expert in foreign policy and is Chair of the Council on Foreign and Defence Policy, one of Russia's oldest NGOs. We discuss how the war in Iran is being viewed in Moscow. On the one hand, Russia is benefitting short-term from the boost in oil prices. However, Iran is also a strategic partner to Russia, raising big questions about navigating US aggression while still maintaining contact between Trump and Putin in the interests of longer-term US-Russia relations. Incredibly complex, yet what appears clear is that many in Russia are deeply concerned about the almost complete obliteration of global norms of behaviour precipitated by the US-Israeli war against Iran, which is removing all predictability from international relations. That then boils down to one key judgement; ...

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01:47:57
The Gaggle Music Club: Háry János Suite By Zoltán Kodály

This week’s selection for The Gaggle Music Club is Zoltán Kodály’s Háry János Suite.

Composed in 1926, the suite is drawn from Kodály’s opera Háry János, which premiered the same year at the Royal Hungarian Opera in Budapest. The opera was based on the legendary figure of Háry János, a veteran hussar renowned in Hungarian oral tradition for his tall tales, braggadocio and ability to spin fantastical stories of heroic feats, battles and encounters with royalty.

The figure of Háry had been a staple of Hungarian folklore since at least the 19th century, appearing in folk tales and theatrical sketches that celebrated a uniquely Hungarian ethos: a combination of humor, cunning and national pride.

Kodály, like his contemporary Béla Bartók, had devoted decades to the systematic collection and study of Hungarian folk songs, believing that the nation’s musical identity was inseparable from its rural, peasant musical traditions.

In Háry János, Kodály sought to synthesize two impulses—folkloric ...

00:27:46
TG 2091: The U.S.-Israel War On Iran Day 23: Heading For Global Catastrophe

George Szamuely and Peter Lavelle examine the personality and decision-making habits of President Trump in order to see whether they could help explain the strangeness of this unnecessary, uncalled-for war.

01:31:12
22 hours ago

Absolute bombshell. The founder of the Zionist Stern Gang literally wrote to Nazi Germany in 1941 offering an alliance with Hitler. He called Jews a master race, Arabs a slave race, and advocated for the total annihilation of Palestinians. https://x.com/FurkanGozukara/status/2035768334516384050?s=20
[I've known about this for circa two decades, some bombshell]

The United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Qatar are urging the US to continue striking the Iranian regime, four senior officials representing different Gulf capitals told The Times of Israel. https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2035811933333463467?s=20
US officials are no longer enthusiastic about the idea of supporting a Kurdish rebellion or invasion in Iran, according to the NYT

Trump on his ultimatum to Iran:

"You’ll find out what’s gonna happen... You’re gonna find out soon. It’s gonna be very good. Total decimation of Iran. It’s gonna work out very good" https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2035805530334077316?s=20

...

While the rest of the dumb goyim are all playing geopolitical analyst roles, the Lutnicks of the world make billions ;)

Wow even Israeli sources are just like:

“Yeah Trump’s just fucking with the markets”

What an absolute stain on America’s reputation this whole thing is - in every possible way.
Citat
Yalda Hakim
@SkyYaldaHakim
·
3 h
An Israeli security establishment source tells me: “I’d approach this cautiously, with a grain of salt. It’s early Monday morning in the U.S., the start of the trading week. Markets opened higher, largely as expected following the weekend reports on the negotiations and the x.com/skyyaldahakim/…

Step 1 in deescalation must be restraining the Israelis, otherwise all efforts to negotiate will follow this pattern:

POTUS publicly announces deescalation.

Israel takes major strikes to destroy the negotiations & in turn weaken our ability to negotiate.

The war accelerates.
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OSINTdefender
@sentdefender
·
2 h
The Israeli Air Force has begun a new wave of strikes targeting infrastructure sites across the Iranian capital of Tehran. https://x.com/joekent16jan19/status/2036065622577106965?s=20
Absolute chaos in the alliance. Sky News confirms Israel is going rogue and "lashing out" with unilateral strikes like they did on the South Pars gas facilities, completely defying the US. Trump is losing control of Netanyahu and the divergence in strategy is massive. https://x.com/FurkanGozukara/status/2036051346709794850?s=20

January 21, 2023
More Leftie Than Thou
"Jacobin" Magazine Celebrates A Strike Against Ol' Blue Eyes

Here at "The Gaggle" we have very little time for the "more Leftie than thou" school of thought--that's the approach to life according to which the only thing that matters is whether you take the right position on every issue under the sun from Abortion to Zelensky. No one in the world meets the exacting standards of this school of thought; any Leftie leader anywhere is always selling out to the bankers and the capitalists. The perfect exemplar of this is the unreadable Jacobin magazine. 

The other day I came across this article from 2021. It's a celebration of trade union power. And not simply trade union power, but the use of trade union power to secure political goals. Of course (and this is always the case with the "more Leftie than thou" crowd), this glorious, never-to-be-forgotten moment on the history of organized labor took place many years ago--in the summer of 1974 to be exact. Yes, almost half a century has gone by since that thrilling moment when the working-class movement of Australia mobilized and prepared to seize the means of production, distribution and exchange. 

Well, not quite. Organized labor went into action against...Ol' Blue Eyes, the Chairman of the Board, the Voice; yes, Frank Sinatra. Why? What had Sinatra done? Sinatra was certainly very rich, and he owned a variety of properties and businesses. But if the Australian trade union movement were, understandably, searching for the bright, incandescent spark that would finally awaken the working class from its slumber there were surely richer, greedier, more dishonest, more decadent, above all more Australian individuals it could have discovered. Australia was never short of them. Rupert Murdoch immediately springs to mind. Why Sinatra?

 

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