So, to answer KomradDirty’s question which we started this post with, should he be worried about Russia buckling first, yes I think you should be worried about that unfortunately. It’s not that Europe, Israel and the U.S. are mad strong. It’s that Moscow is making a totally concious decision to play this sick game on very hard mode while Russia’s enemies get to play on beginner mode basically. All of Russia is fair game while Ukraine’s Rear is utterly off limits to Russian retaliation. The result is that now days Ukraine is hitting Russia proper harder with drones than Russia is hitting Ukraine. Terrible optics aside, this is alarming because Russia doesn’t just import everything it fights with from abroad like Ukraine does. Russia uses foreign components in its drones and missiles, but they are assembled in Russia, Ukraine on the other hand is increasingly importing drones and a far higher proportion of its Military equipment is imported than is Russia’s. Damn near all of Ukraine’s vehicles are imported in contrast to Russia who uses all domestic equipment save for some North Korean Artillery Pieces and Ammunition. We also have touched on how Russia does not even hit anything of critical importance inside Ukraine, which is a conscious choice on Moskow’s end. As for the manpower question yes, Russia has a much bigger population, but they are not mobilizing this population so it’s a moot point when Ukraine is mobilizing like there is no tomorrow. Ukraine has a serious problem with desertion, people are increasingly fighting with Kiev’s Military Slave Drivers, and it would be dishonest to imply that everything is fine for the hohols on the manpower front. But will Ukraine’s manpower problems deliver Russia everything east of the Dnieper? No. They probably won’t even deliver Kramatorsk and Slavyansk if we are being honest with ourselves. The hohols rage about their manpower issues because contrary to NAFO claims Ukraine is very, very, slowly losing ground everywhere and that’s even after they retake a few kilometers here and there. Every turnip patch lost is seriously painful for the Ukrainians, but it’s a huge mistake to conflate hohols seething over the loss of an outhouse with Russian Troops marching into Odessa. I can’t exactly promise anyone that Russia will buckle first but that is a possibility that needs to be taken very seriously. My personal feeling is that we will get a stalemate sometime in the next few years, maybe Russia will get all of Donbass in this round, maybe not. 50-50 chance IMO and since only completely liquidating Ukrainian Statehood constitutes Russian Victory that means Russia is taking an L regardless of where the front line runs. https://open.substack.com/pub/drlivci/p/will-russia-or-ukraine-win-the-race?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=o786d